2018 Grand National Selector Tool
With a maximum of 40 runners, it's rarely a straightforward task picking out the winner of the Grand National. With our Grand National Selector, we've done the homework for you based on a number of race trends pulled from the last 10 renewals. In the table below you can see who ticks the most trends boxes and give you a better idea of who could win the 2018 National.
Picking a winner is not a science, but certain trends have occurred over the years which could help you draw up a shortlist of horses before deciding who to have your bet on. Our best advice would be to read the key below and then making an informed decision on which of the trends are the most important before making your selection.
These are the colours worn by the jockey for that horse.
The horse's name, the number it will wear in the Grand National, the name of the trainer and jockey, the age of the horse, what weight it will carry in the race, what official rating it has and its recent form.
The last thirteen winners have been aged between 8 and 12, so those under the age of 8 or over 12 on the table are marked with a cross. There hasn't been a 7 year old winner since 1940 or a 13 year old winner since 1894.
Only six horses have carried more than 11st 5lbs to victory since 1945, so we've used that as our benchmark. Horses carrying less than 11-6 have a tick, whilst horses carrying more than 11-6 have a cross.
Stamina & Form
The Grand National is run over a gruelling 4 miles, three and a half furlongs. This is the longest race of the season and stamina is a must. The last eleven winners have won over at least three miles, one furlong in a chase, or placed over three miles and a quarter, so those runners that haven't have a cross.
There is a growing trend for horses of a particular class to win the Grand National. With this in mind, we've marked with a tick any horse who has won at least one race worth £29k to the winner, with a cross to denote those horses who haven't.
All bar one of the last ten winners had won either a class 1 or class 2 chase, so those who have achieved this from the class of 2018 are marked with a tick, those who haven't have been marked with a cross
All of the last ten winners had run at least three times in that season, so we've ruled out any horse who hasn't had a run within that period.
Jumping is key over the Aintree fences and all of the last ten winners had won a minimum of three times over fences before showing they can be good jumpers on their day. Those without three wins to their names have been singled out with a cross.
The last ten winners had bags of experience over jumps and had at least eight runs to their name. We've crossed out any runners who don't have the relevant experience.
The mark is the Official Rating given to a horse by the British Horse Racing Association and the handicap for the race is built around these ratings. The last ten winners have been rated between 136 and 157, so those rated outside of those parameters have been marked with a cross.
Ten of the last eleven winners of the Grand National all ran within 53 days of the big race to ensure they were race fresh, last year's winner One For Arthur the exception (84 days). We've crossed out any horse who has been off the course for longer than 53 days.
All of the last ten runners had previously won or placed in a chase with a minimum of 15 runners (barring last year's winner) to show they can handle the hustle and bustle of a big field. Any of the runners in this year's race have been crossed out if they don't fill this criteria.
Using all the trends in the table, we've given the horses individual ratings out of 10, as to what their chances are in the Grand National based on these trends.
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